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Published in 2019 at "Journal of Futures Markets"
DOI: 10.1002/fut.22017
Abstract: This paper investigates how realized and option implied volatilities are related to the future quantiles of commodity returns. Whereas realized volatility measures ex-post uncertainty, volatility implied by option prices reveals the market's expectation and is…
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Keywords:
panel;
estimating predicting;
panel quantile;
risk ... See more keywords