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Development of a Prediction Model for the Management of Noncommunicable Diseases Among Older Syrian Refugees Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic in Lebanon

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Key Points Question What are the predictors and barriers to managing noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) for older Syrian refugees in Lebanon? Findings This prognostic study including 1893 refugees with at least… Click to show full abstract

Key Points Question What are the predictors and barriers to managing noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) for older Syrian refugees in Lebanon? Findings This prognostic study including 1893 refugees with at least 1 NCD (chronic respiratory disease, diabetes, history of cardiovascular disease or hypertension) developed a predictive model for the inability to manage any NCD with a moderate discriminative ability. Predictors of inability to manage any NCD included age, no cash assistance, household water and food insecurity, and having multiple chronic diseases. Meaning These findings suggest context-appropriate assistance is required to overcome financial barriers and enable equitable access to health care and medication required to manage NCDs among refugees.

Keywords: syrian refugees; prediction model; development prediction; noncommunicable diseases; older syrian

Journal Title: JAMA Network Open
Year Published: 2022

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