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Estimated COVID-19 Cases and Hospitalizations Averted by Case Investigation and Contact Tracing in the US

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Key Points Question What are the estimated numbers of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations averted by case investigation and contact tracing (CICT) programs in the US? Findings This decision analytical model… Click to show full abstract

Key Points Question What are the estimated numbers of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations averted by case investigation and contact tracing (CICT) programs in the US? Findings This decision analytical model study used CICT program data from 23 jurisdictions and estimated that CICT programs averted 1.11 to 1.36 million cases and 27 231 to 33 527 hospitalizations over 60 days during the 2020 to 2021 winter peak of the pandemic. The upper estimate assumes that all interviewed cases and monitored contacts complied with isolation and quarantine guidelines, whereas the lower estimate assumes that fractions of interviewed cases and monitored or notified contacts did so. Meaning These findings suggest that CICT programs likely played a critical role in curtailing the pandemic.

Keywords: investigation contact; hospitalizations averted; averted case; cases hospitalizations; case investigation; covid cases

Journal Title: JAMA Network Open
Year Published: 2022

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