LAUSR

Many plant species produce excessive flowers but abandon most of them halfway to maturation. Several hypotheses have been proposed to explain adaptive significances of this behavior. To understand this phenomenon, I developed a resource allocation model between flower and fruit/seed production to examine a new hypothesis that excessive flower production is favored to “dilute” predation pressures in plant–pre-dispersal seed predator systems. First, I compared the efficiencies of three abortion strategies: (1) no abortions: the plant matures all pollinated flowers; (2) selective abortions: the plant aborts all flowers oviposited by predators and only intact flowers mature; (3) random abortions: the plant indiscriminately aborts a fraction of the pollinated flowers irrespective of seed-predator oviposition. I assumed that the timing of selective abortions was later than that of random abortions owing to delays in response to feeding damage (the cost of selective abortion). I showed that the reproductive efficiencies of the random-abortion and selective-abortion strategies were much higher than that of the no-abortion strategy when resources were poor, predators were abundant, and the cost of flower production was low. In addition, the reproductive efficiency of the random-abortion strategy was greater than that of the selective-abortion strategy when the cost of selective abortion was high. Second, I examined a mixed-abortion strategy in which plants aborted flowers randomly earlier and selectively later. The proportion of random abortions increased as the amount of resources decreased, density of seed predators increased, flower production cost decreased, and cost of selective abortion increased.