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Are financial ratios relevant for trading credit risk? Evidence from the CDS market

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We propose a combination of LASSO with panel-consistent estimation methods to investigate whether financial ratios are used in the decision-making process of CDS traders. Our results indicate that financial statement… Click to show full abstract

We propose a combination of LASSO with panel-consistent estimation methods to investigate whether financial ratios are used in the decision-making process of CDS traders. Our results indicate that financial statement information does play a role in all the trading horizons surrounding the announcement date and the corresponding styles. These include pro-active analysts trying to predict quarterly results, news traders reacting to unanticipated information and value traders who fine-tune their estimates and act accordingly at a later stage. Our findings also suggest that CDS traders respond asymmetrically to financial ratio updates of different sign and intensity.

Keywords: credit risk; trading; relevant trading; trading credit; ratios relevant; financial ratios

Journal Title: Annals of Operations Research
Year Published: 2018

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