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Economic policy uncertainty spillover effects on sectoral equity returns of New Zealand

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In this paper, we introduce a weekly index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) for New Zealand and examine the return and volatility spillovers from New Zealand (local) and US (foreign)… Click to show full abstract

In this paper, we introduce a weekly index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) for New Zealand and examine the return and volatility spillovers from New Zealand (local) and US (foreign) EPU on aggregate (NZSE) and sectoral indices of New Zealand stock market. The multivariate VAR (1)-BEKK-GARCH model is employed for this purpose. Overall, our findings suggest that NZ equity sectors and NZSE receive much stronger and more pronounced spillover effects from US EPU compared to the local counterpart (NZ EPU). While the return spillovers from both EPUs are somewhat similar yet limited to just a few sectors, the effect of US EPU on NZ sectors’ volatility outstrips that of the NZ EPU. Furthermore, while the domestically oriented sectors are relatively more vulnerable to NZ EPU, those having export/import concentration with the US are mainly susceptible to US EPU. These findings may be useful to investors seeking sectoral diversification opportunities across New Zealand and the US.

Keywords: new zealand; economic policy; spillover effects; policy uncertainty; zealand

Journal Title: Journal of Economics and Finance
Year Published: 2020

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