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Analytic Study of Bifurcations of the Pairwise Model for SIS Epidemic Propagation on an Adaptive Network

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The pairwise ODE model for SIS epidemic propagation on an adaptive network with link number preserving rewiring is studied. The model, introduced by Gross et al. (Phys Rev Lett 96:208701,… Click to show full abstract

The pairwise ODE model for SIS epidemic propagation on an adaptive network with link number preserving rewiring is studied. The model, introduced by Gross et al. (Phys Rev Lett 96:208701, 2006), consists of four ODEs and contains three parameters, the infection rate $$\tau $$τ, the recovery rate $$\gamma $$γ and the rewiring rate w. It is proved that transcritical, saddle-node and Andronov–Hopf bifurcations may occur. These bifurcation curves are determined analytically in the $$(\tau , w)$$(τ,w) parameter plane by using the parametric representation method, together with the two co-dimensional Takens–Bogdanov bifurcation point. It is shown that this parameter plane is divided into four regions by the above bifurcation curves. The possible behaviours are as follows: (a) globally stable disease-free steady state, (b) stable disease-free steady state with two unstable endemic equilibria and a stable periodic orbit, (c) stable disease-free steady state with a stable and an unstable endemic equilibrium and (d) a globally stable endemic equilibrium. Numerical evidence is shown that homoclinic bifurcation, giving rise to an unstable periodic orbit, and cycle-fold bifurcation also occur.

Keywords: sis epidemic; model sis; epidemic propagation; model; propagation adaptive; bifurcation

Journal Title: Differential Equations and Dynamical Systems
Year Published: 2017

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