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Changes in emergency department visits, diagnostic groups and 28-day mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic: a territory-wide, retrospective, cohort study

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Objective We aimed to evaluate and characterize the scale and relationships of emergency department visits and excess mortality associated with the early phase of COVID-19 pandemic for the territory of… Click to show full abstract

Objective We aimed to evaluate and characterize the scale and relationships of emergency department visits and excess mortality associated with the early phase of COVID-19 pandemic for the territory of Hong Kong. Methods We conducted a territory-wide, retrospective, cohort study to compare the ED visits and related impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality. All ED visits at 18 public acute hospitals in Hong Kong between January 1st and August 31st, 2019 (n=1,426,259); and 2020 (n=1,035,562) were included. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality in the 28 days following an ED visits. The secondary outcomes were weekly number of ED visits and diagnosis-specific mortality. Results ED visits decreased by 27.4% from 1,426,259 in 2019 to 1,035,562 in 2020. Overall period mortality increased from 28,686 (2.0%) in 2019 to 29,737 (2.9%) in 2020. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for 28-day, all-cause mortality in the pandemic period of 2020 relative to 2019 was 1.26 (95%CI 1.24-1.28). Both genders, age >45 years, all triage categories, all social classes, ED visits periods and for epilepsy (OR 1.58, 95%CI 1.20-2.07), lower respiratory tract infection and airway disease had higher adjusted ORs for all-cause mortality. Conclusions A significant reduction in ED visits in the first eight months of the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with an increase in deaths certified in ED. Government must make provision to encourage patients with alarming symptoms, mental health conditions and co-morbidities to seek timely emergency care, regardless of the pandemic.

Keywords: department visits; mortality; emergency department; mortality associated; covid pandemic

Journal Title: Annals of Emergency Medicine
Year Published: 2021

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