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Experimental test of a black-box economic model predictive control for residential space heating

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Abstract Previous studies have identified significant demand response (DR) potentials in using economic model predictive control (E-MPC) of space heating to exploit the inherent thermal mass in residential buildings for… Click to show full abstract

Abstract Previous studies have identified significant demand response (DR) potentials in using economic model predictive control (E-MPC) of space heating to exploit the inherent thermal mass in residential buildings for short-term energy storage. However, the economically viable realisation of E-MPC in residential buildings requires an effort to minimise the need for additional equipment and labour-intensive modelling processes. This paper reports on an experiment where a novel E-MPC setup was used for thermostatically control of a hydronic radiator in a highly-insulated residential building located on the NTNU Campus in Trondheim, Norway. The E-MPC utilized data from a heating meter, two temperature sensors and an existing weather forecast web service to train a linear black-box model. The results showed that the precision of model trained on excitation data that was generated using setpoints of either 21 or 24 °C was sufficient to obtain good control of the indoor air temperature while shifting consumption from high to low price periods. The findings of the experiment indicate that a minimal E-MPC setup is able to realize the significant DR potential that lies in utilizing the inherent thermal mass in residential buildings.

Keywords: control; predictive control; model; economic model; model predictive; space heating

Journal Title: Applied Energy
Year Published: 2021

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