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The determinants and effectiveness of industrial policy in china: A study based on Five-Year Plans

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Abstract This paper examines industrial policy in China over the period of the 9th - 12th Five-Year Plans (FYPs). Based on China's national and provincial FYPs and data disaggregated to… Click to show full abstract

Abstract This paper examines industrial policy in China over the period of the 9th - 12th Five-Year Plans (FYPs). Based on China's national and provincial FYPs and data disaggregated to the four-digit manufacturing sector level, it finds that the central government's preferences act as a key determinant of the provincial FYPs. It also shows that policy significantly improves output while it is in effect but there is no evidence of a beneficial effect beyond the end of the particular FYP. The results are consistently robust across a number of tests.

Keywords: year plans; policy china; industrial policy; five year; policy

Journal Title: China Economic Review
Year Published: 2019

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