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Stabilizing production ramp-up by modeling uncertainty for product design verification using Dempster–Shafer theory

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Abstract Unplanned product-related engineering changes are a major field of disturbance for production ramp-up. Numerous of them can be traced back to deficits in design verification conducted during precedent product… Click to show full abstract

Abstract Unplanned product-related engineering changes are a major field of disturbance for production ramp-up. Numerous of them can be traced back to deficits in design verification conducted during precedent product development. The present paper provides a conceptual methodology for planning design verification activities based on the quantification of uncertainties. By identifying and modeling information sources regarding the true value of a functional product characteristics, uncertainties regarding functional requirement fulfillment can be modeled in order to plan necessary design verification activities. The uncertainty modeling is based on the common ESReDA-framework as well as recent approaches using Dempster–Shafer theory.

Keywords: design verification; using dempster; production ramp; product

Journal Title: CIRP Journal of Manufacturing Science and Technology
Year Published: 2018

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