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Two simple tests of the trend hypothesis under time-varying variance

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This paper investigates the effects of time-varying variance on the linear trend tests proposed by Harvey et al. (2007) (HLT) and Perron and Yabu (2009) (PY) and finds time-varying variance results… Click to show full abstract

This paper investigates the effects of time-varying variance on the linear trend tests proposed by Harvey et al. (2007) (HLT) and Perron and Yabu (2009) (PY) and finds time-varying variance results in obviously different null distributions. We propose two new robust linear trend tests. An empirical application highlights the usefulness of our tests.

Keywords: time varying; trend; varying variance; two simple

Journal Title: Economics Letters
Year Published: 2017

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