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The role of uncertainty measures on the returns of gold

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Abstract By utilizing Bayesian Graphical Structural Vector Autoregression model, we show that changes in geopolitical risks and the U.S. real effective exchange rate significantly affect Gold returns. These results are… Click to show full abstract

Abstract By utilizing Bayesian Graphical Structural Vector Autoregression model, we show that changes in geopolitical risks and the U.S. real effective exchange rate significantly affect Gold returns. These results are consistent across different frequency bands in short, medium, and long terms.

Keywords: role uncertainty; measures returns; returns gold; uncertainty measures

Journal Title: Economics Letters
Year Published: 2019

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