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Volatility forecasting accuracy for Bitcoin

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Abstract We analyze the quality of Bitcoin volatility forecasting of GARCH-type models applying different volatility proxies and loss functions. We construct model confidence sets and find them to be systematically… Click to show full abstract

Abstract We analyze the quality of Bitcoin volatility forecasting of GARCH-type models applying different volatility proxies and loss functions. We construct model confidence sets and find them to be systematically smaller for asymmetric loss functions and a jump robust proxy.

Keywords: bitcoin volatility; volatility; forecasting accuracy; accuracy bitcoin; volatility forecasting

Journal Title: Economics Letters
Year Published: 2020

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