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The gambler’s and hot-hand fallacies: Empirical evidence from trading data

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Abstract I test the prediction of Rabin and Vayanos (2010) that a belief in continuation of streaks should be observed following long streaks, while a belief in reversals should be… Click to show full abstract

Abstract I test the prediction of Rabin and Vayanos (2010) that a belief in continuation of streaks should be observed following long streaks, while a belief in reversals should be observed following short streaks. Using a unique sample of retail investor trading data, the paper provides novel empirical evidence on the gambler’s and hot-hand fallacies.

Keywords: trading data; gambler hot; hot hand; empirical evidence; hand fallacies

Journal Title: Economics Letters
Year Published: 2020

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