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Analytical formulae for accurately sized t-tests in the single instrument case

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Abstract I construct novel analytical expressions for asymptotically valid right-tailed and left-tailed t-tests in the single instrument-single regressor case. The underlying disturbances are allowed to be non-Gaussian and (in a… Click to show full abstract

Abstract I construct novel analytical expressions for asymptotically valid right-tailed and left-tailed t-tests in the single instrument-single regressor case. The underlying disturbances are allowed to be non-Gaussian and (in a simple extension of the baseline case) heteroskedastic. The critical values for the tests are constructed under the (testable) assumption that the expectation of the F-statistic in the first-stage regression is greater than a lower bound ( 1 + μ L B 2 ) . The asymptotic sizes of the implied one-tailed (two-tailed) tests are within 2 Φ ( − μ L B ) ( 4 Φ ( − μ L B ) ) of their nominal values, where Φ is the cdf of a standard normal random variable. The resulting degree of control over asymptotic test sizes is considerably superior to that provided by the standard Stock–Yogo (2005) approach.

Keywords: single instrument; analytical formulae; case; formulae accurately; tests single

Journal Title: Economics Letters
Year Published: 2020

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