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Tax news in good and bad times

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Abstract We investigate whether the effect of tax news depends on the state of the economy. Using U.S. quarterly data, we show that news about future tax cuts are more… Click to show full abstract

Abstract We investigate whether the effect of tax news depends on the state of the economy. Using U.S. quarterly data, we show that news about future tax cuts are more contractionary during recessions. This nonlinearity is mainly due to the response of durable consumption and, especially, nonresidential investment.

Keywords: tax news; news good; bad times; good bad; news; tax

Journal Title: Economics Letters
Year Published: 2021

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