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The quantitative importance of technology and demand shocks for unemployment fluctuations in a shopping economy

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Abstract We construct and estimate a business cycle model with search and matching frictions in the labor market and in the product market. We show that the dynamic structure of… Click to show full abstract

Abstract We construct and estimate a business cycle model with search and matching frictions in the labor market and in the product market. We show that the dynamic structure of the model and the endogenous job separation rate are important to accurately represent the empirical responses to the technology and the demand shocks. Our main finding is that the demand shock explains at least 58% of the unemployment fluctuations in the US, while the technology shock accounts for the residual.

Keywords: demand shocks; technology; unemployment fluctuations; demand; technology demand

Journal Title: Economic Modelling
Year Published: 2021

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