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Highlights • Our simple approach relies on very few parameters and minimal assumptions• Subjective choice of best training period improved forecasts• Despites its simplicity, our model forecasted well under a… Click to show full abstract
Highlights • Our simple approach relies on very few parameters and minimal assumptions• Subjective choice of best training period improved forecasts• Despites its simplicity, our model forecasted well under a range scenarios.• This approach can be a natural 'null model' for comparison with methods.
Keywords:
approach measure;
forecast incidence;
approach;
measure transmissibility;
simple approach;
transmissibility forecast
Journal Title: Epidemics
Year Published: 2018
Link to full text (if available)
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Journal Title: Epidemics
Year Published: 2018
Link to full text (if available)
Share on Social Media: Sign Up to like & get
recommendations!