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Voluntary overbooking in commercial airline reservations

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Abstract This paper studies a voluntary overbooking model under rational expectation equilibrium to promote cooperation between customers and airlines, maintain goodwill of customers, and maximize the expected total returns to… Click to show full abstract

Abstract This paper studies a voluntary overbooking model under rational expectation equilibrium to promote cooperation between customers and airlines, maintain goodwill of customers, and maximize the expected total returns to airlines. A decision tree analysis is constructed for both customers and airlines. Sensitivity analysis is conducted in both realistic and simulated no-show random variables for validation. The findings suggest considerable mutual benefits associated with a ‘voluntary overbooking’ policy that emphasizes mutual cooperation between passengers and commercial airlines. The main underlying assumption of the paper is that customers are willing to provide valuations to airlines seeking volunteers for overbooking. The originality of the proposed model is the incorporation of elements of the Rational expectations hypothesis into classical overbooking models gleaned from the literature.

Keywords: commercial airline; voluntary overbooking; airline reservations; overbooking commercial

Journal Title: Journal of Air Transport Management
Year Published: 2020

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