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Improving daily Value-at-Risk forecasts: The relevance of short-run volatility for regulatory quality assessment

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In this paper, we present a novel perspective on data filtering and present an innovative wavelet-based approach that leads to improved Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts. A separation of financial conditional volatility… Click to show full abstract

In this paper, we present a novel perspective on data filtering and present an innovative wavelet-based approach that leads to improved Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts. A separation of financial conditional volatility into short-, mid- and long-run components allows us to study the relevance of these frequency components with respect to a regulatory quality assessment for daily VaR forecasts.

Keywords: volatility; value risk; quality assessment; regulatory quality

Journal Title: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year Published: 2018

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