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Spatial dynamics of major infectious diseases outbreaks: A global empirical assessment

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Abstract We explore the space–time and mortality dynamics of recent infectious diseases outbreaks which have occurred in a large number of developed and developing countries. We fully acknowledge the heterogeneity… Click to show full abstract

Abstract We explore the space–time and mortality dynamics of recent infectious diseases outbreaks which have occurred in a large number of developed and developing countries. We fully acknowledge the heterogeneity of infectious diseases. We find that many outbreaks exhibit spatial dependence, due to the international movement of people and goods. All countries are exposed to these negative cross-border health externalities, which can be triggered by climate shocks. The mortality consequences are much more severe in developing countries. Paying attention to spatial dependence has important implications for economic research and international policymaking.

Keywords: diseases outbreaks; dynamics major; major infectious; infectious diseases; outbreaks global; spatial dynamics

Journal Title: Journal of Mathematical Economics
Year Published: 2021

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