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Delphic and odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro area

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In this paper, we study the impact of the ECB announcements on the market-based expectations of interest rates and of in ation rates. We nd that the impact of the… Click to show full abstract

In this paper, we study the impact of the ECB announcements on the market-based expectations of interest rates and of in ation rates. We nd that the impact of the ECB announcements on in ation expectations has changed over the last fteen years. In particular, while in the central part of our sample the ECB announcements were read as a signal about the economic conditions (i.e. Delphic component), in latest episodes they have been interpreted as a commitment device on future monetary policy accommodation (i.e. Odyssean component). We propose an approach to separately identify the Delphic and Odyssean component of the ECB monetary policy announcements and we measure their dynamic impact on the economy.

Keywords: policy; delphic odyssean; odyssean monetary; monetary policy; ecb announcements; policy shocks

Journal Title: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year Published: 2018

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