LAUSR

Abstract In basin modelling and petroleum system analysis geometries during deposition of sediments (paleo-water depth) and distribution of organic matter are initial parameters used for further interpretation or modelling. This paper presents an approach, combining backstripping with a probabilistic forward sedimentary model to calibrate paleo-water depth (PWD). The stochastic PWD results serve as an input for organic facies models and the study demonstrates how PWD will influence models for total organic carbon distribution in a sedimentary basin. For the Early Cretaceous Hammerfest Basin, mainly shelfal to upper bathyal bathymetries (average PWD values vary between 118 and 318 m) result in average total organic carbon (TOC) varying between 0.47 and 5.24 wt% across the basin. For the different models basin averaged TOC values are similar but vertical and lateral distribution pattern change significantly, especially towards the shallow end-member PWD. The results indicate that PWD uncertainties propagate non-linearly into source rock distributions.