LAUSR

Abstract The prediction of short term power load owns a great influence on performance of the whole electric system. Raising the result of power load forecasting is always a research spot. This paper proposes a method combined Elman neural network (ENN) and the particle swarm optimization (PSO) for the short-term power load forecasting. Firstly, this paper introduces the principle of ENN and PSO algorithm respectively and analyzes performance of network influenced by parameters of ENN. Then the particle swarm optimization algorithm is applied to searching the optimal learning rate of ENN. To study the capability of the method proposed in this paper, the method is utilized for the short-term power load forecasting, which is suitable to be solved by ENN. Besides, a comparison experiment on this method (PSO–ENN) with general regression neural network (GRNN), the original ENN and the traditional back-propagation neural network (BPNN) is given out to illustrate effectiveness of PSO–ENN.