Abstract The paper examines the relationship between climate amenities and locational choices in retirement. Using data from 2017 release of the American Community Survey, I construct a household residential location… Click to show full abstract
Abstract The paper examines the relationship between climate amenities and locational choices in retirement. Using data from 2017 release of the American Community Survey, I construct a household residential location choice model and value climate amenities from the trade-offs among housing cost, climate amenities, and other locational attributes in a metropolitan statistical area (MSA). On average, a retired household is willing to pay $1209 for a 1 °C drop in average summer temperature, $1114 for a 1 °C increase in average winter temperature, and $486 for a 1 °C decrease in temperature variability. The values of climate amenities vary with household demographic characteristics, and older households with a higher retirement income and disability have a higher marginal willingness to pay for a favorable climate. Moreover, among the retired population, there exists a positive preference-based sorting across MSAs, where those favoring the preferred temperatures more than the average live in places with a more friendly climate. Using the estimated preference parameters, I compute the values of projected climate amenities and find that retired households would be willing to pay nearly 3.3% of their annual income to avoid a standard future projected climate scenario. Simulation results suggest that over 2% of retired households would relocate in response to this level of climate change, resulting in an overall northbound shift in the retired population.
               
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