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Disaggregated oil shocks and stock-market tail risks: Evidence from a panel of 48 Economics

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Abstract We analyse the impact of oil supply, global economic activity, oil-specific consumption demand, and oil-inventory demand shocks on equity-market tail risks of a panel of 48 developed and emerging… Click to show full abstract

Abstract We analyse the impact of oil supply, global economic activity, oil-specific consumption demand, and oil-inventory demand shocks on equity-market tail risks of a panel of 48 developed and emerging economies over the monthly period from 1975:01 to 2017:12. We find that, oil supply, global economic activity, and oil-inventory demand shocks reduce tail risks, but oil-specific consumption demand shock increases tail risks, with these effects stronger in oil-exporting economies. Our results have important implications for investors and policymakers.

Keywords: tail risks; economics; oil; market tail; demand

Journal Title: Research in International Business and Finance
Year Published: 2021

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