LAUSR

The present study focuses on the transition between steady convective patterns in fluid-saturated porous media. We conduct experiments to identify the transition point from the single- to double-cell pattern in a two-dimensional porous medium. We then perform a basin stability analysis to assess the relative stability of different convective modes. The resulting basin stability diagram not only provides the domains of coexistence of different modes, but it also shows that the likelihood of finding convective patterns depends strongly on the Rayleigh number. The experimentally observed transition point from single- to double-cell mode agrees well with the stochastically preferred mode inferred from the basin stability diagram.