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The statistical mechanics of felt uncertainty under active inference

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Abstract Convincing narratives are not confabulations. Presumably they “feel right” to decision-making agents because the probabilities they assign intuitively (i.e., implicitly) to potential outcomes are plausible. Can we render explicit… Click to show full abstract

Abstract Convincing narratives are not confabulations. Presumably they “feel right” to decision-making agents because the probabilities they assign intuitively (i.e., implicitly) to potential outcomes are plausible. Can we render explicit the calculations that would be performed by a decision-making agent to evaluate the plausibility of competing narratives? And if we can, what, exactly, makes a narrative “feel right” to an agent?

Keywords: uncertainty active; felt uncertainty; active inference; statistical mechanics; mechanics felt; mechanics

Journal Title: Behavioral and Brain Sciences
Year Published: 2023

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