LAUSR

Introduction There were an estimated 55,102 new cases of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Brazil in 2020, comprising 9.3 percent of all newly diagnosed cancers, and making it the third most common cancer in the Brazilian population. Up to half of all patients with CRC will develop liver metastases, and the prognosis for these patients is poor. The objective of the present analysis was to evaluate the cost-utility of selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) using Y-90 resin microspheres versus best supportive care (BSC) in patients with unresectable, liver-dominant, chemotherapy-refractory metastatic CRC (mCRC). Methods A three-state partitioned survival model was developed in Microsoft Excel to evaluate the cost-utility of SIRT using Y-90 resin microspheres versus BSC. Membership of the three model states of pre-progression, post-progression and death was governed by parametric models of Kaplan-Meier data from a retrospective, interventional study. Costs associated with SIRT using Y-90 resin microspheres, BSC, and adverse events were obtained from Brazilian sources and reported in 2021 United States dollars (USD). Future costs and effects were discounted at 5 percent. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were performed. A willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 53,936 was used based on a 2017 review of Brazilian healthcare technology adoption. Results The base case analysis showed that Y-90 resin microspheres would result in an increase of 0.76 QALYs versus BSC, increasing quality-adjusted life expectancy from 0.67 QALYs to 1.43 QALYs. The improvement in quality-adjusted life expectancy was accompanied by an increase in costs from USD 9,884 to USD 40,399 over the model time horizon, corresponding to an increase of USD 30,515, and yielding an incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) of USD 40,265 per QALY gained. PSA showed there was a 90.8 percent likelihood of cost-effectiveness at USD 53,936 per QALY gained. Conclusions SIRT using Y-90 resin microspheres was cost-effective versus BSC in the treatment of unresectable, liver-dominant mCRC patients and should be considered for incorporation in the Brazilian Private Healthcare System.