LAUSR.org creates dashboard-style pages of related content for over 1.5 million academic articles. Sign Up to like articles & get recommendations!

Effects of Semistochastic Westerly Wind Bursts on ENSO Predictability

Photo from wikipedia

Westerly wind bursts (WWBs) occurring over the tropical Pacific play an important role on El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dynamics. Currently, climate models have significant biases in their representation of WWBs,… Click to show full abstract

Westerly wind bursts (WWBs) occurring over the tropical Pacific play an important role on El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dynamics. Currently, climate models have significant biases in their representation of WWBs, which may limit their ability to predict ENSO. In this study, we explore the possibility of improving ENSO prediction by introducing a semistochastic WWBs parameterization scheme into the Community Earth System Model (CESM). Three ensemble hindcasts, namely, the control run with the original CESM, the WWB run with parameterized WWBs, and the Non_WWB run with built‐in WWBs removed, are conducted for the period 1982–2016. We find that CESM with parameterized WWBs enables better ENSO prediction, especially for both amplitude and spatial distribution of eastern Pacific and central Pacific El Niño events. This improvement is related to more realistic representation of WWBs which leads to better prediction of surface wind stress anomalies and thermocline depth anomalies.

Keywords: bursts enso; wwbs; wind bursts; westerly wind; effects semistochastic; semistochastic westerly

Journal Title: Geophysical Research Letters
Year Published: 2020

Link to full text (if available)


Share on Social Media:                               Sign Up to like & get
recommendations!

Related content

More Information              News              Social Media              Video              Recommended



                Click one of the above tabs to view related content.