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Temporal and seasonal variations in incidence of stage II and III NEC—a 28-year epidemiologic study from tertiary NICUs in Connecticut, USA

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To investigate seasonality and temporal trends in the incidence of NEC. A retrospective cohort study from two tertiary NICUs in northern and central Connecticut involving 16,761 infants admitted over a… Click to show full abstract

To investigate seasonality and temporal trends in the incidence of NEC. A retrospective cohort study from two tertiary NICUs in northern and central Connecticut involving 16,761 infants admitted over a 28-year period. Various perinatal and neonatal risk factors were evaluated by univariate, multivariate, and spectral density analyses. Incidence of NEC was unchanged over the 28 years of study. Gestational age, birth weight, and birth-months (birth in April/May) were independently associated with stage II or III NEC even after adjusting for confounding factors (p < 0.05). Yearly NEC incidence showed a multi-modal distribution with spectral density spikes approximately every 10 years. Temporal and seasonal factors may play a role in NEC with a peak incidence in infants born in April/May and periodicity spikes approximately every 10 years. These trends suggest non-random and possibly environmental factors influencing NEC.

Keywords: incidence; stage iii; study; tertiary nicus; iii nec; temporal seasonal

Journal Title: Journal of Perinatology
Year Published: 2021

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