LAUSR

Radiographs (XR), computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are regularly analyzed to determine whether a bone lesion is benign or malignant. An online quiz was created providing 15 cases with a clinical summary, MRI, CT, and XR. After each image, participants were asked to rate the probability (0–100%) the bone tumor was malignant. Order and difficulty of the images were randomly determined. Probability statements regarding the diagnosis were actualized along the sequence of exam, to quantify how the degree of belief changed to account for evidence from those exams. 64 physicians participated and provided 154 assessments from 1 (n = 18) to 3 (n = 44) different cases. After the first image, participants favored the correct malignancy status at 70%; 80% after the second and 80% after the third one. Participants were more likely to favor the correct malignancy status when the lesion was malignant and when first confronted with XR or CT, rather than MRI, though the most predictive factor of correct diagnosis was the difficulty of the case. In conclusion, the additional information provided by successive imaging studies was moderate. XR or CT seemed more appropriate than MRI as first imaging study. Bypassing XR should be discouraged.