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Flash drought early warning based on the trajectory of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence

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Significance Flash drought has become increasingly common and threatens global food security. To help proactively manage and prevent the devastating effects of flash drought, we propose a flash drought early… Click to show full abstract

Significance Flash drought has become increasingly common and threatens global food security. To help proactively manage and prevent the devastating effects of flash drought, we propose a flash drought early warning approach based on unusually slow increases or unusually fast decreases of a spaceborne proxy for plant photosynthesis, the solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF). Relative to the operational US Drought Monitor, the SIF-based approach provides a lead time of 2 wk to 2 mo for flash drought onset and several weeks for drought recovery. It shows great potential to support the development of a global, agriculturally relevant early warning system that will help protect human food security, especially for regions where other drought indices are limited by sparse hydrometeorological data.

Keywords: induced chlorophyll; solar induced; drought early; flash drought; chlorophyll fluorescence; early warning

Journal Title: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Year Published: 2022

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