Significance Voter turnout depends on both beliefs (such as partisanship) and friction (such as long lines at a polling place). In a survey of eligible US voters before and after… Click to show full abstract
Significance Voter turnout depends on both beliefs (such as partisanship) and friction (such as long lines at a polling place). In a survey of eligible US voters before and after the 2020 election, we uncovered a mismatch between actual and perceived drivers of turnout: Participants underestimated the role of friction and overestimated the role of beliefs in shaping turnout. Furthermore, participants who were prone to this bias tended to support policies that increase friction on voting, such as signature-matching requirements. These results inform the ongoing public debates surrounding voting access.
               
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