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Long-term benefits of nonpharmaceutical interventions for endemic infections are shaped by respiratory pathogen dynamics

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Significance Nonpharmaceutical interventions, such as mask wearing, introduced to limit the spread of COVID-19 have proved effective at reducing cases of other respiratory diseases. A key public health question is… Click to show full abstract

Significance Nonpharmaceutical interventions, such as mask wearing, introduced to limit the spread of COVID-19 have proved effective at reducing cases of other respiratory diseases. A key public health question is whether these interventions could be introduced long term to limit outbreaks of diseases such as influenza. Here, we use epidemic models to show that the effect of mask wearing on endemic disease is likely short lived. Over longer time horizons, outbreaks may return while interventions are in place, as population immunity decreases.

Keywords: long term; interventions endemic; nonpharmaceutical interventions; term benefits; benefits nonpharmaceutical

Journal Title: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Year Published: 2022

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