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A new prediction model for giant cell arteritis in patients with new onset headache and/or visual loss

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Abstract Objective The gold standard for diagnosis of giant cell arteritis (GCA) is a temporal artery biopsy (TAB). We sought for a clinical useful model to predict when an invasive… Click to show full abstract

Abstract Objective The gold standard for diagnosis of giant cell arteritis (GCA) is a temporal artery biopsy (TAB). We sought for a clinical useful model to predict when an invasive TAB is not necessary to confirm GCA. Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted with patients > 50 years with possible GCA, presenting with newly onset headache and/or visual loss. Demographical, clinical, laboratory findings and histological data were collected. Results Fifty-six (70%) of the 94 patients showed 1 or more halos of the superficial temporal artery branches. Ultrasound-guided biopsy was positive in 28 patients (30%). Four independent variables predicted a positive TAB: weight loss, bilateral headache, positive halo sign and thrombocytosis. The ROC of the model had an area under the curve of 0.932 with a PPV of 83% and a NPV of 94%. Conclusions Weight loss, bilateral headache, a positive halo sign with duplex and thrombocytosis are the most important clinical and laboratory predictors for GCA in a selected group of patients. Significance In patients > 50 years presenting with new onset headache or visual loss with 3 or more of the above mentioned risk factors, a biopsy of the temporal artery is not needed to confirm the diagnosis GCA. KEY MESSAGES In our study biopsy of the temporal artery was positive in 30% of the patients with possible GCA Weight loss, bilateral headache, a positive halo sign on duplex and thrombocytosis are predictors for GCA The halo sign had a high sensitivity but a low specificity for a biopsy proven GCA

Keywords: visual loss; onset headache; headache; loss; headache visual; model

Journal Title: Annals of Medicine
Year Published: 2022

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