LAUSR

Abstract Data taking value on a Riemannian manifold and observed over a complex spatial domain are becoming more frequent in applications, for example, in environmental sciences and in geoscience. The analysis of these data needs to rely on local models to account for the nonstationarity of the generating random process, the nonlinearity of the manifold, and the complex topology of the domain. In this article, we propose to use a random domain decomposition approach to estimate an ensemble of local models and then to aggregate the predictions of the local models through Fréchet averaging. The algorithm is introduced in complete generality and is valid for data belonging to any smooth Riemannian manifold but it is then described in details for the case of the manifold of positive definite matrices, the hypersphere and the Cholesky manifold. The predictive performances of the method are explored via simulation studies for covariance matrices and correlation matrices, where the Cholesky manifold geometry is used. Finally, the method is illustrated on an environmental dataset observed over the Chesapeake Bay (USA). Supplementary materials for this article are available online.