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Implied correlation indices and volatility forecasting

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ABSTRACT Implied volatility indices are an important measure for ‘market fear’ and well-known in academia and practice. Correlation is still paid less attention even though the CBOE started to calculate… Click to show full abstract

ABSTRACT Implied volatility indices are an important measure for ‘market fear’ and well-known in academia and practice. Correlation is still paid less attention even though the CBOE started to calculate implied correlation indices for the S&P500 in 2009. However, the literature especially on cross-country dependencies and applications is still quite thin. We are closing this gap by constructing an implied correlation index for the DAX and taking a deeper look at the (intercontinental) relationship between equity, volatility and correlation indices. Additionally, we show that implied correlation could improve implied volatility forecasting.

Keywords: correlation; volatility forecasting; indices volatility; implied correlation; correlation indices

Journal Title: Applied Economics Letters
Year Published: 2017

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