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Winners and losers. Turnout, results and the flows of vote

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ABSTRACT Not all general elections can be considered as being equal: some are placed in continuity with the previous political phase and therefore do not change the most relevant features… Click to show full abstract

ABSTRACT Not all general elections can be considered as being equal: some are placed in continuity with the previous political phase and therefore do not change the most relevant features of the party and political system; others, however, tend to represent a watershed between distinct political phases. Without a doubt, the 4 March 2018 Italian general elections belong to the latter category. This article analyses those same elections from three points of view: firstly, it reconstructs and explains electoral turnout, both following a long-term diachronic perspective, as well as comparing the various areas of the country from a territorial point of view. Secondly, similar diachronic and territorial comparisons are conducted with respect to electoral results, so as to clearly identify winners and losers of the 4 of March. Finally, it presents flows of votes in thirty-eight different territorial contexts (cities or electoral constituencies): in this way, it is possible to precisely reconstruct the reasons behind the ‘electoral earthquake’ of 4 March 2018.

Keywords: flows vote; winners losers; turnout results; results flows; losers turnout

Journal Title: Journal of Modern Italian Studies
Year Published: 2018

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