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Monetary policy and stock valuation: structural VAR identification and size effects

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This paper examines the relationship between the US monetary policy and stock valuation using a structural VAR framework that allows for the simultaneous interaction between the federal funds rate and… Click to show full abstract

This paper examines the relationship between the US monetary policy and stock valuation using a structural VAR framework that allows for the simultaneous interaction between the federal funds rate and stock market developments based on the assumption of long-run monetary neutrality. The results confirm a strong, negative and significant monetary policy tightening effect on real stock prices. Furthermore, we provide evidence consistent with a delayed response of small stocks to monetary policy shocks relative to large stocks.

Keywords: policy; structural var; monetary policy; stock valuation; policy stock

Journal Title: Quantitative Finance
Year Published: 2018

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