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The Crude Oil–Stock Market Dependence and Its Determinants: Evidence from Emerging Economies

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ABSTRACT This article uses dependence-switching copulas and time-varying single copulas to characterize the world oil–stock market dependence in a broad range of emerging economies, and it then conducts a regression… Click to show full abstract

ABSTRACT This article uses dependence-switching copulas and time-varying single copulas to characterize the world oil–stock market dependence in a broad range of emerging economies, and it then conducts a regression analysis to explore the determinants of the market dependence patterns. Our results support a positive crude oil-emerging stock market link overall. The regression results show that oil return volatility, country-specific variables (i.e., stock market volatility, petroleum production growth), and US economic policy uncertainty have positive effects on the oil–stock dependence. However, a strong US economy tends to decrease the oil–stock dependence. The robustness of these findings is confirmed.

Keywords: dependence; oil stock; stock market; oil

Journal Title: Emerging Markets Finance and Trade
Year Published: 2019

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