LAUSR

Glucose lowering drugs or strategies (GLDS) have varied effects on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and heart failure (HF) in cardiovascular outcomes trials. Mechanisms driving cardiovascular risk reduction remain elusive. We searched MEDLINE, PubMed, and meeting abstracts up to 11/21/2018 for large GLDS cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) in patients with or at risk for type 2 diabetes. Primary endpoints of MACE and HF were evaluated with random effects risk ratios (RR) and explored by baseline CVD subgroups and meta-regression by weight change across treatment arms. In 27 GLDS CVOTs, a total 207,820 patients, median age 63 years, 64% male, 64% CVD and 11% with prior HF were studied over a mean 3.8 years with 20,118 (10%) patients having MACE and 7,212 (4%) a HF event. Compared with standard care, GLDS overall lowered MACE (RR 0.92, P<0.ehz745.01171) but not HF (RR 1.01, P=0.91). Across GLDS, the magnitude and directionality varied modestly for MACE RR (P-int=0.07) but markedly for HF (P-int<0.ehz745.01171). Meta-regression showed a change in HF RR by 6% (95% CI 3%-9%) per 1 kg weight gain/loss between treatment arms (P=0.0006; Figure). In 9 trials of GLDS that achieved marked weight loss (lifestyle, GLP1 agonists, SGLT2 inhibitors), MACE benefit was confined to patients with baseline CVD (RR 0.89 [0.84–0.95] versus without (RR 1.02 [0.91–1.15]; P-int=0.01) with consistent HF effect (RR 0.80 [0.72–0.88] vs RR 0.76 [0.56–1.03]; P-int=0.74). Heart Failure Risk and Changes in Weight HF outcomes were improved with GLDS that lower weight. Among diabetes GLDS that lower weight, there was a robust risk reduction in atherothrombotic and heart failure events, with the MACE benefit confined to patients with established CVD. Heart and Stroke Foundation