LAUSR

ESC/ESH Guidelines (2018) recommended that treated BP values should be targeted to 130/80 mmHg or lower in most patients. However, it remains unclear whether this target in middle-aged population is associated with future development of heart failure. We conducted a retrospective analysis to determine whether high blood pressure cut-off by 130/80 mmHg in the middle-age predicts the risk of heart failure, detected by high N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level, in the elderly in a cohort in which longitudinal blood pressure records exist. The cohort consists of health check examinee who consulted the examination institute between 2015 and 2018 (n=8513), aged 70 years or older, and had previous institution-visit record at least once from 50 to 69 years old. We measured serum NT-proBNP level in the all examinee and defined the group of high NT-proBNP as ≥144 pg/ml [defined as the highest quartile, n=2135 (25%)]. The number of participants whose previous blood pressure records exists was 8123 (95%) for 65–69 years old, 6980 (82%) for 60–64 years old, 5233 (61%) for 55–59 years old, and 3018 (35%) for 50–54 years old, respectively. The each generation subgroups were divided into the three gradual categories according to the blood pressure records: SBP ≥140 and/or DBP ≥90, SBP130–139 and/or DBP80–89, and SBP <130 and DBP <80 mmHg. Categorization to high NT-proBNP group in ages of 70 or more was significantly associated with the categorization to high blood pressure, which was not only the SBP ≥140 and/or DBP ≥90 mmHg but also the SBP130–139 and/or DBP80–89 mmHg at any time points of previous blood pressure measurements. The multivariable adjusted odds ratios for having high NT-proBNP level in the elderly against the two high blood pressure categories based on the previous blood pressure measurements were shown in the Table. Table 1. Multivariable adjusted OR for high NT-proBNP level in elderly Age N SBP 130–139 and/or DBP 80–89 SBP ≥140 and/or DBP ≥90 OR P OR P 65–69 8123 1.30 <0.001 1.68 <0.001 60–64 6980 1.26 0.002 1.55 <0.001 55–59 5233 1.25 0.013 1.41 <0.001 50–54 3018 1.32 0.023 1.58 <0.001 Model included age, gender, BMI, serum creatinine, hemoglobin, and presence of antihypertensive medications, and cardiac disease. High blood pressure cut-off by 130/80 mmHg in the middle-age may be valid to predict the risk of heart failure in the elderly.