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Predicting the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa: the case of Namibia.

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SARS-CoV-2 transmission models have been fairly inaccurate in their predictions for Africa. Here, based on an analysis of surveillance data from Namibia, we conclude that it is necessary to include… Click to show full abstract

SARS-CoV-2 transmission models have been fairly inaccurate in their predictions for Africa. Here, based on an analysis of surveillance data from Namibia, we conclude that it is necessary to include spatial demography, and travel, in SARS-CoV-2 transmission models in order to make more accurate predictions for COVID-19 epidemics in Africa.

Keywords: cov africa; sars cov; transmission; transmission sars; africa case; predicting transmission

Journal Title: Journal of travel medicine
Year Published: 2022

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