SARS-CoV-2 transmission models have been fairly inaccurate in their predictions for Africa. Here, based on an analysis of surveillance data from Namibia, we conclude that it is necessary to include… Click to show full abstract
SARS-CoV-2 transmission models have been fairly inaccurate in their predictions for Africa. Here, based on an analysis of surveillance data from Namibia, we conclude that it is necessary to include spatial demography, and travel, in SARS-CoV-2 transmission models in order to make more accurate predictions for COVID-19 epidemics in Africa.
               
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