LAUSR

White collar workers in the trade and retail industry have relatively low sickness absence/disability pension rates, although the rates increased over the study period, especially with mental diagnoses. Several factors were more strongly associated with SA/DP among men, indicating that there are other factors of importance for women. Objective This study aimed to investigate future sickness absence (SA) and disability pension (DP) among privately employed white-collar employees in the trade and retail industry. Methods A prospective population-based cohort study of all 192,077 such workers in Sweden in 2012, using linked microdata from nationwide registers, was conducted. Descriptive statistics of annual SA/DP during 2010 to 2016 and logistic regression for SA/DP in 2016 were used. Results Women had more mean SA/DP net days/person; however, there were no sex differences in the mean number of net days/person with SA/DP. The mean number of net days/person increased, especially with mental diagnoses. Sickness absence in 2012 was the strongest factor associated with SA/DP in 2016 (women: odds ratio, 3.28; 95% confidence interval, 3.09–3.47; men: odds ratio, 4.10; 95% confidence interval, 3.76–4.48). Work-related factors were weakly associated with future SA/DP. Conclusions The number of SA/DP net days per person increased, especially SA/DP days due to mental diagnoses.