LAUSR

BACKGROUND Preoperative risk assessment is essential in determining which surgical candidates will have the most to gain from an operation. The 5-item modified frailty index (mFI-5) has been validated as an effective way to determine this risk. This study sought to evaluate the performance of the mFI-5 as a predictor of postoperative complications after tissue expander placement. METHODS Patients who underwent placement of a tissue expander were identified using the 2012 to 2018 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project database. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis models were used to assess how mFI-5, the components of the mFI-5 (functional status, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic heart failure, and hypertension), and other factors commonly used to risk stratify (age, body mass index [BMI], American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, and history of smoking) were associated with complications. RESULTS In 44,728 tissue expander placement cases, the overall complication rate was 10.5% (n = 4674). The mFI-5 score was significantly higher in the group that experienced complications (0.08 vs 0.06, P < 0.001). Compared with the mFI-5 individual components and other common variables used preoperatively to risk stratify patients, univariate analysis demonstrated that mFI-5 had the largest effect size (odds ratio [OR], 5.46; confidence interval [CI], 4.29-6.94; P < 0.001). After controlling for age, BMI, ASA classification, and history of smoking, the mFI-5 still remained the predictor of complications with the largest effect size (OR, 2.25; CI, 1.70-2.97; P < 0.001). In assessing specific complications, the mFI-5 is the independent predictor with the largest significant effect size for surgical dehiscence (OR, 12.76; CI, 5.58-28.18; P < 0.001), surgical site infection (OR, 6.68; CI, 4.53-9.78; P < 0.001), reoperation (OR, 5.23; CI, 3.90-6.99; P < 0.001), and readmission (OR, 4.59; CI, 3.25-6.45; P < 0.001) when compared with age, BMI, ASA class, and/or history of smoking alone. CONCLUSIONS The mFI-5 can be used as an effective preoperative predictor of postoperative complications in patients undergoing tissue expander placement. Not only does it have the largest effect size compared with other historical perioperative risk factors, it is more predictive than each of its individual components.