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Basic reproduction number of epidemic models on sparse networks.

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The basic reproduction number R_{0} is a standard indicator of infection control in epidemiology. Although R_{0} has been studied extensively for deterministic epidemic models, it has not been formulated accurately… Click to show full abstract

The basic reproduction number R_{0} is a standard indicator of infection control in epidemiology. Although R_{0} has been studied extensively for deterministic epidemic models, it has not been formulated accurately for models adopting network structures. Here, we extend a four-compartment model that includes commonly used epidemic models to a Markov process on networks. By examining the Markov process in detail, we derive a canonical formula for R_{0} involving two probability values. Numerical calculations show that the derived formula is a better approximation than the conventional formula when the network is very sparse. We propose this as a standard formula for controlling infections that can only be transmitted through intimate contact, where contacts between individuals can be described as a sparse network.

Keywords: epidemic models; basic reproduction; number epidemic; reproduction number

Journal Title: Physical review. E
Year Published: 2022

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