LAUSR.org creates dashboard-style pages of related content for over 1.5 million academic articles. Sign Up to like articles & get recommendations!

Limits on inferring the past.

Photo by rebepascual7 from unsplash

Here we define and study the properties of retrodictive inference. We derive equations relating retrodiction entropy and thermodynamic entropy, and as a special case, show that under equilibrium conditions, the… Click to show full abstract

Here we define and study the properties of retrodictive inference. We derive equations relating retrodiction entropy and thermodynamic entropy, and as a special case, show that under equilibrium conditions, the two are identical. We demonstrate relations involving the Kullback-Leibler divergence and retrodiction probability, and bound the time rate of change of retrodiction entropy. As a specific case, we invert various Langevin processes, inferring the initial condition of N particles given their final positions at some later time. We evaluate the retrodiction entropy for Langevin dynamics exactly for special cases, and find that one's ability to infer the initial state of a system can exhibit two possible qualitative behaviors depending on the potential energy landscape, either decreasing indefinitely, or asymptotically approaching a fixed value. We also study how well we can retrodict points that evolve based on the logistic map. We find singular changes in the retrodictivity near bifurcations. Counterintuitively, the transition to chaos is accompanied by maximal retrodictability.

Keywords: inferring past; limits inferring; retrodiction entropy; retrodiction

Journal Title: Physical Review E
Year Published: 2018

Link to full text (if available)


Share on Social Media:                               Sign Up to like & get
recommendations!

Related content

More Information              News              Social Media              Video              Recommended



                Click one of the above tabs to view related content.