LAUSR

We use population inference to explore the impact that uncertainties in the distribution of binary black holes (BBH) have on the astrophysical gravitational-wave background (AGWB). Our results show that the AGWB monopole is sensitive to the nature of the BBH population (particularly the local merger rate), while the anisotropic C_{ℓ} spectrum is only modified to within a few percent, at a level which is insignificant compared to other sources of uncertainty (such as cosmic variance). This is very promising news for future observational studies of the AGWB, as it shows that (i) the monopole can be used as a new probe of the population of compact objects throughout cosmic history, complementary to direct observations by LIGO and Virgo and (ii) we are able to make surprisingly robust predictions for the C_{ℓ} spectrum, even with only very approximate knowledge of the black hole population. As a result, the AGWB anisotropies have enormous potential as a new probe of the large-scale structure of the Universe, and of late-Universe cosmology in general.